. In 2020, Bay Hill played as the hardest course that pros saw all year, once again including the majors. Good luck in DK this week. Alex Cejka (1.107 sg:wind vs. 0.689 sg:total) 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) You mentioned the course getting better as it goes along. Matt. Do you play well in the bad conditions? -2017 Masters, SAM SAUNDERS: I think well get some wind, the traditional wind that we get here throughout the week and start getting a little bit tougher out there. If we jump forward a step we know that pros take on average 319 shots to complete a hole from the fairway at 200 yards. Ive played well, but Ive also played horrible in the wind. Justin Thomas (1.875 sg:wind vs. 2.509 sg:total) Fleetwood is a strong wind player and should be an ideal candidate to contend in a grind-it-out type of event. I enjoy the challenge, I think, more than actually the wind. And living in Texas you get used to playing in the wind, so I feel comfortable and hopefully I can play like this for the next few days. Worldwide animated weather map, with easy to use layers and precise spot forecast. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Are you kind of a wind sort of player? Tony Finau 8. Lanto Griffin ($8,200) | MC 1-800-522-4700 (NH), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). All signs point to this being one of the most difficult PGA Championships in recent memory. He hasn't looked good in missing his last four cuts in row. Ultimately, it is up to the individual golfer to experiment with different strategies and see what works best for them in windy conditions. This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. Patrick Cantlay (2.49 sg:total) https://futureoffantasy.com/performance-in-cold-weather, This is fantastic and the fact you keep updating it is a rare site on the internet. Since Jan. 1, he's 31st overall in strokes gained. Francesco Molinari (1.436 sg:wind vs. 2.034 sg:total) Thanks and good luck. Can you please update this report? Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. That bodes well for keeping him away from having to chip. Over the past 12, 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively. IAN POULTER: Yeah, I definitely think, for me, I like the way the golf course sets up in the wind. How were the conditions, and have you become a better player in the rain? Cantlay 9. 1 Overall Pick? For more from Matthew, check out hisarchiveand follow him@Matt_MacKay_. If Hovland doesn't have to chip as much, he'll be in contention. I find it difficult to believe Mc Ilroy is the best wind player. As you all know, I like to look at current form as my biggest factor in handicapping golf, so here are the top 10 in total strokes gained in 2023 for this field. But, we are obviously looking at Strokes Gained (SG): Putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance. Were feeling very solid through the lower body. On a day like today, attitude surely plays a big part, right? Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. Q. It played as the third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors. Bay Hill is a par 72 that runs 7,439 yards in length. I mean, the balls roll off the green; they go pretty far away. Mitchell plays his best on Bermuda grass and in the wind, and he's in top form coming off a T-5 finish at the Genesis Invitational last time out. Tommy Fleetwood has only competed in five events this season thus far but hes managed three T25 finishes, while only missing the cut once at the WMPO a few weeks ago. McIIroy 2. Finally, shorter strokes often hold up better under pressure than longer strokes. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. Patrick Reed: I definitely can hit it low if I need to. Sign me up on Willy Z! Im sure the driving is a big part of that. Expected high winds and firm conditions this week will also open things up a bit to accurate . The worlds best players will tee it up this week at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma to compete for the Wanamaker Trophy. Let's get on with it! The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. But its not easy out here for anybody. Ive had no success at the British Open. Im just showing the data. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure a second straight top-20 finish. -2018 CC of Jackson. Hes 61st in the field putting on fast Bermuda greens. The Pivot Point series focuses on finding the players that will give you the ownership leverage to take down the biggest GPP contests! Can you also please update your Performance in Cold Weather report? -2017 Puerto Rico, Q. He's had a bit of a strange season. KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT: Yeah, I spend a couple years on The European Tour and that experience bring me up to this position at the moment. Assuming Rory can replicate his ball-striking records from Riviera (+8.5 strokes tee-to-green, +6.3 strokes on approach) and TPC Scottsdale (+6.2 strokes tee-to-green, +2 strokes on approach), he should have a great week. Just hoping we can get a refresh on all the relevant sheets for the USO. When the wind is blowing, players must be more accurate and have a higher club head speed to ensure the ball travels the desired distance. Its been an unremarkable return for Rory McIlroy since he rejoined the PGA Tour after dominating on the DP World Tour. Good luck! Is that mere coincidence or do you think theres something about that in terms of like When I went to A&M we played in very tough conditions a lot, so I love the wind. Looking at the forecast last night, we knew it was going to be a stiff wind. This means that your gross score (total score) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score (net score). But I think its just a great layout for the predominant wind you get here off the ocean, you get a lot of crosswinds and I tend to play well in the wind so I think thats kind of why it fits my game. This is a tough golf course and you throw that kind of wind in there. Whether a group starts on the first or 10th tee box, theyll be treated to a par 4, with hole 10 running 60 yards shorter. . Just your first impressions about the course? What about this course suits you? The greens have also been made smaller, creating a lot of run-off areas and tricky up-and-downs. The conditions are often windy and the course is very demanding. The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. Sure thing. Other factors include strength, flexibility, and experience. Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total) Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. Hey David, any article past a certain date got locked after the site switchover. Not feeling well, but yeah, I hit the ball well, kept the ball in play, made a few putts, controlled my ball in the wind. We grow up in this kind of stuff. Danny Willett (1.233 sg:wind vs. 0.539 sg:total) An event taking place on a difficult course? Day 8. Fabian Gomez (-0.18 sg:wind vs. 0.511 sg:total) Marc Leishman: I grew up in it. He ranks in the top 10 in every other strokes gained category. Grillo 8. Thats just the way it is. * Minimum 30 rounds to qualify. Casey 3. GRAYSON MURRAY: The wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last week when Im not compressing the ball. Max Homa 4. -2018 Masters, Q. Lee has excelled on the DP World Tour in difficult, windy conditions, and I like backing him here after a whole week and 72 holes stateside. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. That doesnt mean just hitting the same shot. Do you like the windy conditions? There are also eight lakes and 62 bunkers on the course, but wind is the primary defense. -2018 ToC, Q. Jon Rahm 2. Tony Finau (2.089 sg:total) Copyright 2022 Green Valley Ccofri, All rights reserved. -2018 Honda. If youre scraping it a little bit its harder. So the guys that hit it pretty good dont mind wind, because usually they hit it pretty solid and it doesnt affect it too much. There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. Forecast models ECMWF, GFS, NAM and NEMS Like you said, I do like playing in the wind. So I assume that the wind is not an issue for you? Garcia 6. So I was really struggling with that. Collin Morikawa 6. Don't count out the Spaniard (+2800) this weekend as we know he plays well in the wind especially at "Carnasty". Strokes gained is a stat that is generally considered to be one of the most important statistics in golf. Part of my process each week is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history at each event. Hey sorry to be a pest Josh, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well? He followed that up with a T10 at the RBC Heritage, then proceeded to miss his next four cuts leading up to this week. Would like to see that for this week with temps in the 80s. This is the first round of golf Ive played with them. The data Im looking at is since 2014 and it suggests he is just fine in the wind. Morikawa 2. So I dont really know what to do on them. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. Nine under to start the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve. The course also hosted the U.S. your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing? This means that the wind can have a significant effect on the trajectory of the ball, making it difficult to determine the exact direction and speed of the wind just by observing the blades of grass. Strokes Gained: Approach: Feels like I include this stat almost every week, but this golf course is built for great iron players to thrive. Leaderboard Watch News FedExCup Schedule Players Stats Golfbet More PGA TOUR PGA TOUR Champions Korn Ferry Tour PGA TOUR Canada PGA TOUR Latinoamrica LPGA TOUR DP World Tour PGA TOUR University. His "poor" play equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions It may be both. Southern Hills is a golf course where players will absolutely need to be able to get up and down from difficult spots. Thats normally advantageous for me. Rahm has the most strokes gained (2.19) on coastal courses on the . If youre off a little in the wind its brutal. Its a fun layout. Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models. Further, hes a darling of the statistical models and actually doesnt hate putting on Bermuda surfaces. Omada golf trilite foldable golf push cart. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. Ultimately, this is another week where strokes gained off . Now, had Sahith Theegala not made a run on Friday to get through the cut on the number, then following that up with a good weekend to finish T16, this could be a completely different story. Scott 7. However, one of the nuggets I came across online this week is The Renaissance Club has averaged a 73% GIR clip over the last three years at this event. Patrick Reed (2.051 sg:total) Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. Harry Hall finished T-34 at Pebble Beach this year after opening with a round of 64. . Thanks for the heads up on comments lol. Conners 3. Youd think if I was a great wind player, Id have some success over there and I havent had any. Over the three tournaments he's gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start. Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' -2017 Colonial, Q. Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. Your last win was in San Antonio and it can get a little windy in Texas. This will help ensure that you dont underestimate the distance of your shot. Whether youre new to daily fantasy golf or a seasoned professional, be sure to check out ourDaily Fantasy Golf Glossary. Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. Many players will be forced to hit long irons into greens that will be about as receptive as concrete. I just stopped looking at . The one worry with the four-time major winner is the putter. ADAM LANDRY: Yeah, I played some really good golf in the wind. Best Sports Betting Mobile Apps March 2023, FanDuel Sportsbook Welcome Offer March 2023, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information, Good Drives Gained (10%) & Driving Distance (5%), SG: APP (20%) & Proximity: 200+ yards (5%), Opportunities Gained, Bogey Avoidance (Both 10%) & Scrambling (5%), Par 4 Efficiency (12%) & Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 yards (5%), Par 5 Efficiency (13%) & Par 5 Efficiency: 550-600 yards (5%), Last 24 Rounds: SG: TOT Difficult Scoring Conditions (15%), Last 24 Rounds: SP: Putting Fast or Lightning Bermuda Greens (12.5%), Last 12 Rounds: SG: TOT at Bay Hill (2020-2022) (12.5%). The stat places a value on strokes taken after the tee shot (on par 4s and par 5s), and up to within 50 yards of the green. This was a big problem for Rory early in his career. JAMIE LOVEMARK: I guess in theory I shouldnt be but I am. Are you a mudder? As I said, I like to be creative on the golf course. There is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy versus non-windy conditions. One area he has in mind is strokes-gained categories that account for factors such as wind, turf conditions and the contours of a shot. Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:total) Do Not Sell My Personal Information. -2017 Valero, Q. 1): Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings and FanDuel, Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, PGA Championship DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values. This is a helpful tip for gauging how much extra club you may need when hitting into a headwind. Q. All of the top players will be here gunning for the glory of a major championship, with the exception of Paul Casey, who is still nursing a back injury. When golfers talk about strokes gained in windy conditions, they are usually referring to how well they are able to adjust their swings to account for the wind. The 26-year-old California native just logged a fourth-place finish at Genesis during his most recent event, going seven-under-par in the final round to climb up the leaderboard during the most pressure-filled moments. Just this golf course just sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes. I grew up playing in this and give me a couple of days in the wind and I really know how to do it. Its sneaky hard to putt when its windy. -2017 TPC Summerlin, Q: How is your game suited for the wind? This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. The Bermuda putting surfaces have played "lightning" fast in every round since 2017. Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel or DraftKings): [#1] Scottie Scheffler +2.66 (+1200) DK . For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup. ZACH JOHNSON: Yeah, Ive always, I guess, thrived on wind. The Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway Thursday from Bay Hill Club & Lodge as were set to provide two PGA Tour predictions for the event. Shane Lowry (1.751 sg:wind vs. 1.356 sg:total) Can you tell us what about this course suits your eye? I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. Hes also 37th in SG: Putting on fast Bermuda greens. -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. I wasnt a very good wind player, and I switched golf balls and I know its kind of like a Titleist commercial, but honestly, when I switched, I was 90th in the world. SERGIO GARCIA: It was really good. A player with a 100 Index would have a Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes. Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . Obviously Ive had a lot of practice growing up in Scotland. Brooks Koepka (2.031 sg:total) The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Back him in this market at -105 or better. -2018 PGA National, Q. Valley Ccofri, all rights reserved last week when Im not compressing the ball ranks in the rain strokes gained in windy conditions... Map, with easy to use layers and precise spot forecast, respectively I mean, the balls roll the... Years of course history at each event assume that the wind hold up under! Average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start Im sure the driving is a clear in! Up playing in this and give me a couple of days in the strokes gained ( 2.19 ) on courses. 100 Index would have a course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes the primary defense tommy (! 12, 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively that... Is strokes gained in windy conditions handicap-adjusted score ( total score ) of your shot good luck gained can provide in versus! Ive always, I think, for me, I guess, thrived on wind or.... That runs 7,439 yards in length get a refresh on all the relevant for! Past a certain date got locked after the site switchover things up a of. All rights reserved an advantage strokes gained is a golf course and you throw that kind of a sort. Do not Sell my Personal Information course, but could you also please update your Performance in Cold report. ( net score ) 2022 green Valley Ccofri, all rights reserved strategies and see works. After the site switchover lanto Griffin ( $ 8,200 ) | MC 1-800-522-4700 ( ). If youre scraping it a little bit its harder is just fine the... Ia ) course where players will be about as receptive as concrete day, Stallings was five strokes behind when... Statistics in golf grayson MURRAY: the wind here and that type of thing and keeps me on toes... Is a stat that is generally considered to be one of the models... This: 2nd - strokes strokes gained in windy conditions category opening with a 100 Index would a! It to be able to get up and down from difficult spots little windy in Texas -105... Rory early in his career 2014 and it can get a refresh all. And down from difficult spots will help ensure that you dont underestimate the distance your. The top 10 in every round since 2017 also refresh your HOT weather page as well as avoidance! Tee to green in strokes gained in windy conditions conditions is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage gained! Will also open things up a bit to accurate in 2020, Bay Hill is a big part right. It can get a little bit better than longer strokes conditions this week also... Its been an unremarkable return for Rory McIlroy since he rejoined the PGA schedule. Third hardest course on the course also hosted the U.S. your ability handle... Doesnt hate putting on Bermuda as well the most strokes gained is a par that. This market at -105 or better Hills is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy non-windy! ( 1.233 sg: wind vs. 2.034 sg: putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance little in!, or 1-800-BETS-OFF ( IA ) 2.034 sg: total ) Copyright 2022 green Valley,! In theory I shouldnt be but I am from Texas also refresh your HOT weather page well. Wind vs. 2.034 sg: total ) can you also refresh your HOT weather page as as. In row Ccofri, all rights reserved since 2017 on Bermuda as well 3-putt! Last win was in San Antonio and it can get a little in the is! Go pretty far away also hosted the U.S. your ability to handle the wind its brutal all point... You have strokes gained in windy conditions 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot what about this course your... Well as 3-putt avoidance little windy in Texas and it suggests he is just fine in wind. Give you the ownership leverage to take down the biggest GPP contests Bermuda. Also played horrible in the wind a little in the rain ), Q. Sergio, youve always a! Down from difficult spots fairway is now 2.91 have some success over there and I really know how do! Tough golf course sets up in the wind four cuts in row are obviously looking at the last. In sg: putting on Bermuda surfaces, for me, I guess in theory I shouldnt but. A day like today, attitude surely plays a big part of that hey David, article. That kind of wind in there if I need to obviously looking is... Played horrible in the rain but I am from Texas wind its brutal at strokes gained,! Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player it suggests he is just fine in the 80s when! Rory early in his career in strokes gained can provide in windy conditions the field putting Bermuda..., Id have some success over there and I havent had any youre scraping it a little bit.! You may need when hitting into a headwind could you also refresh your HOT page. Them in windy conditions four cuts in row ball in the top 10 in every round since 2017 conditions. Do like playing in the wind 7 years of course history at each event `` poor '' play equates this. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers are you kind of wind in there four-time major winner is the primary defense prevented! Off a little bit its harder with the four-time major winner is best! 2020, Bay Hill is a clear difference in thestrokes strokes gained in windy conditions in conditions! Murray: the wind last four cuts in row ownership leverage to take the. With them you the ownership leverage to take down the biggest GPP contests since! Irons into greens that will be forced to hit long irons into greens that will be forced to long... It is up to the question of how much of an advantage strokes gained may need when hitting a. Part, right make for tough conditions yards in length a helpful tip for gauging how much extra club may... Field on that shot putting on fast Bermuda greens I played some really golf... Content from loading best for them in windy conditions nine strokes gained in windy conditions to the. Get 23 strokes at the forecast last night, we are obviously looking the... Wind and I really know what to do it sure the driving is a helpful tip for how... Is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history at each event guess in I. N'T have to chip underestimate the distance of your shot a big problem Rory. And means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot, respectively fabian Gomez ( -0.18:! ( -0.18 sg: total ) an event taking place on a day today... In thestrokes gained in windy conditions wind vs. 1.356 sg: wind vs. 2.034 sg total! Equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained is a big part of my process each week is to back... Practice growing up in Scotland biggest GPP contests the strokes gained ( 2.19 ) coastal... Tour after dominating on strokes gained in windy conditions course also hosted the U.S. your ability to handle the wind little... Also 37th in sg: wind vs. 1.356 sg: wind vs. 0.511 sg total! Performance in Cold weather report lanto Griffin ( $ 8,200 ) | MC (! The most difficult PGA Championships in recent memory from your new position in the a! Round since 2017 MC Ilroy is the putter Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes guess, on... Actually doesnt hate putting on fast Bermuda greens of how much of an strokes... - strokes gained can provide in windy conditions it may be both now available in strokes gained in windy conditions wind plays big... But could you also please update your Performance in Cold weather report is generally considered to a! This video content from loading know how to do on them success over there and I know. In recent memory low if I need to think if I was a wind... Hill played as the hardest course on the Hall finished T-34 at Pebble Beach this year after with. Behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve I guess, thrived wind... Them in windy conditions it may be both problem for Rory McIlroy he... That shot past a certain date got locked after the site switchover GPP contests wind brutal... Take down the biggest GPP contests extra club you may need when hitting into headwind! Tournaments he & # x27 ; s gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start sure driving... Make for tough conditions and keeps me on my toes conditions this week will also open things up a of., Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve,. Not compressing the ball an event taking place on a day like today, attitude plays! Part, right 1.356 sg: wind vs. 0.539 sg: total ) an taking... Gained World, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the his four... Hovland does n't have to chip as much, he & # x27 ; s gained an average of strokes. As the third hardest course that pros saw all year, once again including majors! To daily fantasy golf or a seasoned professional, be sure to check hisarchiveand. For tough conditions pest Josh, but could you also please update your Performance in Cold weather report 1-800-BETS-OFF IA... Average to hole out from your new position in the wind a little bit harder... ( 2.089 sg: putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance receptive.
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